All posts by Daniel Lacalle

About Daniel Lacalle

Daniel Lacalle (Madrid, 1967). PhD Economist and Fund Manager. Author of bestsellers "Life In The Financial Markets" and "The Energy World Is Flat" as well as "Escape From the Central Bank Trap". Daniel Lacalle (Madrid, 1967). PhD Economist and Fund Manager. Frequent collaborator with CNBC, Bloomberg, CNN, Hedgeye, Epoch Times, Mises Institute, BBN Times, Wall Street Journal, El Español, A3 Media and 13TV. Holds the CIIA (Certified International Investment Analyst) and masters in Economic Investigation and IESE.

The oil price shock is a direct consequence of interventionism.

Oil prices are soaring, and, as always, we read in many articles that OPEC and Russia are to blame. However, if OPEC and its allies were almighty and the drivers of oil prices, why have Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude plummeted in 2022? OPEC only reacts to demand, but it is not a price-setter. It is a price-taker.

WTI is up 13% year-to-date, but it only started bouncing in May. WTI is only up 6% in the past year. At $90.7/barrel, it is still far away from the June 2022 high of $122/barrel and barely reaching the levels of November 2022.

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Argentina. Dollarization Is Viable and Urgent.

The viability of a currency change and the loss of “monetary sovereignty” are frequently discussed in the argument over dollarization in Argentina, but the most crucial aspect is sometimes overlooked: the peso is a failed currency. Due to the common belief that “the dollar is rising” when the peso is falling, this important element is disregarded in the media in Argentina.

Argentina. Dollarization Is Viable and Urgent.

The peso is a failed currency. Why?

First, there are more than ten bogus peso exchange rates. The “dollar blue” is the closest approach to a real exchange rate that represents the real value of the currency. A country with ten or more exchange rates has a fictitious and failing currency.

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The Eurozone: An Example of Failed Keynesianism

The eurozone economic figures show the risk of stagflation, and the short-term impact is clear in Germany and France, but it extends to the rest of the countries.

Why has the eurozone lagged the United States and other developed economies in recent years? The enormous stimulus packages, including the 2009 Growth and Job Plan, the Juncker Plan, the New Green Deal, and the Europe Next Generation, are proving that central planning only delivers poor growth, elevated debt, and now high inflation.

The ECB’s latest figures show that monetary aggregates are starting to moderate, but inflation remains high and, in the latest print, is rising.

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Will the BRICS Dethrone the U.S. Dollar?

Are the BRICS a threat to the U.S.?

Will the BRICS Dethrone the U.S. Dollar?

The summit of the so-called BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) has closed with an invitation to join the group extended to the Emirates, Egypt, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Argentina, and Ethiopia.

The summit has generated a lot of headlines about the impact of this widespread group of nations, including speculation about the end of the U.S. dollar as a global reserve currency if this group is perceived as a threat to the United States or even the International Monetary Fund.

Several things need to be clarified.

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