Inflationists are happy. Inflation expectations rise to five-year highs and some rub their hands with the idea that their grand plan to create inflation by decree is going to be a success.
Inflation, the tax of the poor, applauded by no consumer anywhere ever.
Continue reading Europe Will Not Benefit From Inflation SpikeMany economists point to the “abnormal” rise in savings as a bullish signal that will drive a stronger recovery and a consumption boom.
The figures look impressive. In the United States, JP Morgan estimates $2 trillion in deposits, up from $1 trillion before the pandemic. In the Eurozone, Bloomberg Economics estimates an excess of currency and deposit holdings of 300 billion euro, also double the level seen prior to the Covid-19 crisis. However, the devil is in the details.
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Monetary policy has gone from being a tool to help states make structural reforms to become an excuse not to carry them out.
The constant financing of deficits in countries that perpetuate structural imbalances has not only not helped to strengthen growth, since the Eurozone and the United States already suffered downgrades of estimates before the Covid-19 crisis, but is also driving inflation higher.