The latest U.S. inflation report and jobs data do not justify another interest rate increase. Additionally, June data show that inflation is slowing down, especially in the core CPI measure that is most closely watched by monetary authorities, while ongoing tightening is stopping the labor market from reaching its full potential.

Hiking rates while maintaining elevated liquidity harms families and small businesses and perpetuates the very factors that drive inflation, including rising money supply and government spending.

Keeping rates above the neutral level has cost the U.S. economy nearly one million jobs, as small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) find it increasingly difficult to access credit and face prohibitively high borrowing costs. For investors, a 25-basis-point increase may seem insignificant, but for small businesses, it often means either no access to credit or excessively expensive borrowing rates. In the U.S., the average cost of debt for SMEs typically ranges from 6% to 12% APR, making it extremely difficult to hire new employees.

European Union lawmakers in Strasbourg have now agreed on their position regarding the digital euro, approving it in a vote on the 8^th of July 2026. With this position, the European Parliament can start talks with national governments on the details of the design and functioning of the digital euro. 

The ECB argues that the digital euro is required to preserve the benefits of cash in a digital age and protect Europe’s monetary sovereignty, while offering a fast, secure, widely accepted public means of payment. However, it is not a neutral or purely technological upgrade to Europe’s payments infrastructure. It is a political and technological project that may embed surveillance, monetary control, and fiscal dominance into the very structure of the currency.

Iran’s swelling floating oil stockpile is the evidence of a deeper problem. The country has become an unreliable, opaque, and politically fragile supplier whose barrels are increasingly treated as distressed cargoes rather than a dependable energy supply.

As of July 1, more than 58 million barrels of Iranian crude and condensate were sitting on the water, according to Kpler. More than 90% of those volumes had no clear destination, with many tankers marked only as “for orders” or assigned vague routes such as Singapore, a frequent waypoint for ship-to-ship transfers that obscure the final buyer and cargo origin. At least 20 million barrels had already been idling in Asian waters for a week or more, an extraordinary figure for a producer that wants to present itself as a relevant and stable exporter.

Japan’s yen crisis exposes the long‑running failure of the Keynesian strategy that has dominated the country’s economic policy: chronic deficits, exploding public debt, and engineered inflation are now eroding Japan’s purchasing power, competitiveness, and monetary stability.

For decades, many mainstream analysts pointed to Japan as proof that a rich, “monetarily sovereign” country could keep an extremely high public debt without relevant consequences. The argument was simple: as long as the state can issue its currency, it can always print whatever is needed to cover deficits, refinance debt, and support public spending.