The G-20 Summit Will Not Change The Slow Growth Trend

The G20 Summit is likely to generate many headlines and few concrete measures. However:

  1. Growth estimates have been coming down consistently for many months.
  2. G20 economies have been increasing debt and imbalances under constant “stimuli” which have generated diminishing returns.
  3. Global Liquidity and low rates are only disguising the misallocation of capital, poor productivity growth, and bloated government spending.
  4. An agreement between China and US may be used as a catalyst, but is unlikely to change the trend of lower growth, as it will likely be a zero-sum deal, because there is no evidence that China imports less than it needs, rather the opposite.

About Daniel Lacalle

Daniel Lacalle (Madrid, 1967). PhD Economist and Fund Manager. Author of bestsellers "Life In The Financial Markets" and "The Energy World Is Flat" as well as "Escape From the Central Bank Trap". Daniel Lacalle (Madrid, 1967). PhD Economist and Fund Manager. Frequent collaborator with CNBC, Bloomberg, CNN, Hedgeye, Epoch Times, Mises Institute, BBN Times, Wall Street Journal, El Español, A3 Media and 13TV. Holds the CIIA (Certified International Investment Analyst) and masters in Economic Investigation and IESE.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.