In this short video we explain what has happened with earnings in the first quarter. Continue reading Earnings Season. First Quarter 2018 Shows Europe Weaker
Spain’s exporters drive robust economic recovery (My comment in the Financial Times)
Please read the rest of the article here.
In the early 2000s the Spanish economy was also booming, but it was on the back of debt-fuelled domestic demand, an overheated and uncompetitive construction sector and a severe housing bubble. The trade deficit reached more than €100bn. Now exports make up a third of national output, compared to a quarter before the crisis, and there was a €22bn current account surplus in 2017. The domestic construction sector has shrunk rapidly, replaced by manufacturing and other high-skilled industries. “The Spanish economy is seeing robust growth, but also more resilient growth,” says Daniel Lacalle, chief economist at fund manager Tressis. Moody’s, on issuing their ratings upgrade last month, said: “It has become increasingly clear that structural changes in the economy have changed the growth model to one that is broader-based and more sustainable than in past recoveries.”
The Challenge In Commodity Investment
When commodities are rising due to a weak dollar, and the long-term curve is not moving, it is not a good idea to express that move by investing in equities, at least not for the long-term. Continue reading The Challenge In Commodity Investment
Petroyuan’s Lacklustre Birth Explained
Every time I read that the yuan is going to dethrone the dollar and that China is going to monopolize the oil market in its local currency, I remember those films and reports of the late 1980s predicting the imminent Japanese supremacy and how it would absorb the West. Continue reading Petroyuan’s Lacklustre Birth Explained